Milwaukee Bucks Game Previews: Maxie the Miner Edition

Pick your favorite cliche.  The thin air will be tough at such a high elevation.  The Bucks will have their work cut out for them.  The Nuggets are a really tough team to beat at home.

Each of those trite sayings is probably true.  Denver is a tough place to play, especially right now.  The Nuggets have won six straight games, and they are 20-3 at home this season.  Throw in the fact that the Nuggets are both fully rested and fully healthy, and the task for the Bucks grows that much larger.

(Also: That slumpbuster the Bucks had against Orlando the other night?  The Magic scored 61 points against the 76ers last night.  They’re — what do you call it? Oh right — not good.)

Projected Lineups

Nuggets: Ty Lawson, Andre Iguodala, Danilo Gallinari, Kenneth Faried, Kosta Koufos
Bucks: Brandon Jennings, Monta Ellis, Luc Mbah a Moute, Ersan Ilyasova, Larry Sanders

The Bucks will play this game without Marquis Daniels and Doron Lamb.  Daniels did not fly with the team due to a personal matter, and Lamb was recently reassigned to Ft. Wayne of the D-League.

As a result, the Bucks will go against one of the most athletic backcourts in the NBA with just three guards: Jennings, Ellis and Beno Udrih.  It should not be an issue though, unless one of the trio gets hurt or ends up in foul trouble (the latter of which has not happened much with the guards this season).

Some Numbers

The numbers love Denver.  Not only do the Nuggets have one of the league’s top-10 most efficient offenses, they also make plenty of extra possessions for themselves. Denver is the second-best offensive rebounding team, while Milwaukee is the third-worst on the defensive glass.  The Bucks will have to do a mindful job of boxing out to stay competitive.

Offense Four Factors Defense Four Factors
Rk Team SRS ORtg DRtg Pace eFG% TOV% ORB% FT/FGA eFG% TOV% DRB% FT/FGA
7 Denver Nuggets 3.85 108.8 105.3 94.8 .507 13.7 31.4 .210 .491 14.0 71.8 .199
16 Milwaukee Bucks -0.69 103.3 103.6 94.2 .473 13.1 28.5 .182 .479 14.7 70.2 .208
League Average 0.00 105.3 105.3 91.8 .492 13.8 26.9 .204 .492 13.8 73.1 .204
Provided by Basketball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/5/2013.

Both teams play at above-average tempos and use turnover advantages to do it. For the Nuggets, this fact is especially true at home. Thankfully, the Bucks handle the ball adeptly, and if they do it tonight — especially with purposeful passes — then their care should serve them well.

Topics: Denver Nuggets, Milwaukee Bucks

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