Feb 2, 2013; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Orlando Magic guard J.J. Redick (7) looks to pass the ball around Milwaukee Bucks guard Monta Ellis (11) during the third quarter at the BMO Harris Bradley Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

A Trade Rumor For the Bucks: To J.J. Or Not to J.J.

According to a tweet by Marc Stein, the Bucks may be interested in J.J. Redick.

A free-agent-to-be, Redick signed a three-year, $20 million contract with the Magic back in July 2010. Rather than lose him for nothing in free agency, the Magic may deal him before the trade deadline in an attempt to stockpile future assets.

The move makes sense for the Bucks from the viewpoint of their current roster and contracts.  Of the guards on the team who are viable three-point shooters, Mike Dunleavy and Beno Udrih are free agents, and Brandon Jenningsis a restricted free agent.   So rounding up an extra shooter for next year, especially one like Redick who has improved his overall game, works logically.

Whether or not a deal gets hammered out hinges on two huge factors.  First, would the Bucks be able to sign him long-term?  If they did, how much would it cost?  He figures to make more than he made in his last deal, especially now that he’s having a career-best year:  15.3 points per game, 45% FG, 40% 3-pt. FG.  For a 28-year-old guard who is good but not great, what does that fetch per year? $8 million? $9 million?  Whatever the amount, if the Bucks were to keep Redick long term, it would be enough to push a current Buck — probably Monta Ellis — out of their future plans.

The other variable in play is price.  If the Magic want expiring deals and a first-round pick, does Ellis’ deal count?


Ellis has a player option for $11 million next season, but before the season most pundits speculated that he would opt out at the end of this season in hope of hooking a long-term deal.  If he shoots below 40% on the season, maybe that plan changes.  If not Ellis, then Samuel Dalembert could be the piece.  It is more difficult to see the Bucks including Beno Udrih or Mike Dunleavy, simply because they are trading for Redick to bolster and already thin perimeter offense.  But if it means that they can get a piece that fits long-term, then GM John Hammond may still want the deal.

Of course, that is where Hammond having a new contract changes how the Bucks’ future is molded.  The Bucks can now look ahead.  They would likely draft around the 15th or 16th spot in next year’s draft.  Hammond has to assess whether or not the Bucks can get a viable NBA prospect that low in the draft next year.  He has done it well before, sometimes even finding rotation players in the second round.  If the draft is weak, or if the difference between the first and second rounds is negligible, then a move for Redick may be in order.


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Tags: J.J. Redick Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic

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