On a Speculated Bucks/Wizards Deal For Ersan Ilyasova


Oct 20, 2012; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Washington Wizards forward Jan Vesely (24) is fouled by Milwaukee Bucks forward Ersan Ilyasova (7) and guard Mike Dunleavy (17) at the Bradley Center. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

There are rumors that the Wizards and Bucks may be interested in a deal which, at its core, would swap stretch power forward Ersan Ilyasova for the Wizards’ #3 overall draft pick.

First of all, let’s properly source the cloudy chain of rumors. Washington point guard John Wall noted earlier this week that he though that Washington’s greatest need was a such a player.  “I feel like we need a four man that can pick and pop, so we’ll just see.”

From there, Gery Woelfel followed up in a radio interview by saying,

“Well, if they move (Ilyasova), it’s going to be a major move, because Ersan’s value is definitely pretty high.  And one of the rumors, and I repeat RUMOR, all capital letters here — is that Washington might have some interest in Ilyasova and another Bucks’ player for the #3.”

That version of the trade would, of course, need contract filler coming from the Wizards to the Bucks since Ilyasova makes $8 million per season and the other player would only add to that.

Then there was a tweet by Sam Amico of Fox Sports to bolster it a bit:

Yes, heard it’s been explored. RT @rsatjr34: Gery Woelfel said on radio there’s rumor of Ilyasova to WAS for 3rd pick. Have you heard this?

Does the move make sense for the Bucks?  Does it make sense for the Wizards?  Ersan Ilyasova is an incredible combination rebounder/three-point shooter, but he’s a terrible defender.  Here are the players who have had seasons of 13% rebounding percentage while making 42% or more of their three-point attempts (minimum 50 3-pt. FG made):

Totals Shooting Advanced
Rk Player Season Age Tm Lg G GS MP FG FGA 3P 3PA FT FTA ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS FG% 3P% FT% TRB% WS
1 Larry Bird* 1985-86 29 BOS NBA 82 81 3113 796 1606 82 194 441 492 190 615 805 557 166 51 266 182 2115 .496 .423 .896 14.2 15.8
2 Larry Bird* 1984-85 28 BOS NBA 80 77 3161 918 1760 56 131 403 457 164 678 842 531 129 98 248 208 2295 .522 .427 .882 14.7 15.7
3 Troy Murphy 2008-09 28 IND NBA 73 73 2482 364 767 161 358 152 184 146 715 861 172 58 34 114 226 1041 .475 .450 .826 19.1 8.5
4 Mehmet Okur 2008-09 29 UTA NBA 72 72 2409 431 888 90 202 273 334 124 433 557 120 54 53 132 219 1225 .485 .446 .817 13.8 7.4
5 Ersan Ilyasova 2012-13 25 MIL NBA 73 54 2012 371 803 95 214 125 157 154 366 520 117 68 36 75 185 962 .462 .444 .796 13.9 6.7
6 Ersan Ilyasova 2011-12 24 MIL NBA 60 41 1655 294 597 51 112 143 183 196 333 529 71 42 44 76 133 782 .492 .455 .781 17.6 6.4
Provided by Basketball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/8/2013.

Is that worth a number three overall pick?  No, because he has to be hidden on defense against forwards who 1) aren’t quick enough to blow by him — thus eliminating nearly every small forward in the league and 2) won’t bully him in the low post.

Here are Ilyasova’s defensive numbers from Synergy, numbers made worse by the fact that he spent a good time on the court with Larry Sanders, the league’s best defender in the paint.

Note the 0.94 points per possession allowed, good for 365th best in the league, and note also the 58.3% mark on possessions defended in the low post.

So the Bucks would certainly be interested in snagging the #3 overall pick, a move that would give them a young player to complement John Henson and Larry Sanders, a.k.a., the other two useful players that the Bucks have under contract.  But don’t expect the Wizards to fork over their juicy draft pick for Ersan or a package centered around Ersan.

Unless, of course, Ernie Grunfeld can be “had”, which based on recent history isn’t entirely out of the realm of possibility.

Tags: #3 Overall Pick 2013 NBA Draft Ersan Ilyasova Featured Milwaukee Bucks Popular Washington Wizards

  • nich obert

    Did you see the Bucks trade Tobias Harris to rent Redick? Then offer Monta an insane deal despite Jordan Crawfordian efficiency numbers 2 straight years?

    If I was you, I’d be more worried about losing Henson and Ilyasova if the Bucks think there’s a star to be had.

    People are ignoring the “other player”. It’s not Udoh. It’s not Luc.