Things aren’t looking good for Ray Allen’s comeback right off of the bat. 50 made threes in a season is a very low bar–146 NBA players managed that feat last season, including non-shooters like Andrew Wiggins, Ricky Rubio and Rajon Rondo.
Even if you assume a player won’t be healthy for a full 82 game season, it only takes 0.71 made threes per game over 70 played games to get to 50. That’s not asking a lot, even for players who are 40 years old or older. Or is it?
Somewhat surprisingly, no player in their 40s has ever made 50 threes in a season. Shooters ranging from solid to very good like John Stockton, Clifford Robinson, John Long and Grant Hill have all played a season at 40 or more years old, but none of them made even 30 threes.
Although the old adage is that shooting doesn’t really deteriorate with age, there’s no precedence of an NBA player over 40 years old being an effective three-point shooter. Ray Allen could end up being the exception of the rule, or his comeback season could end up as another victory for Father Time.
Next: Playing Time