NBA Draft 2018 Prospect Watch: Troy Brown Jr.

LAS VEGAS, NV - MARCH 7: Oregon forward Troy Brown (0) looks on during the first round game of the mens Pac-12 Tournament between the Oregon Ducks and the Washington State Cougars on March 7, 2018, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
LAS VEGAS, NV - MARCH 7: Oregon forward Troy Brown (0) looks on during the first round game of the mens Pac-12 Tournament between the Oregon Ducks and the Washington State Cougars on March 7, 2018, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /
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CHICAGO, IL – MAY 18: (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
CHICAGO, IL – MAY 18: (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) /

What the experts say

(as of 6/3/18)

ESPN (Jonathan Givony): 18th

The Ringer (Kevin O’Connor, Jonathan Tjarks, Danny Chau): 12th

Sports Illustrated (Jeremy Woo): 21st

Sporting News (Chris Stone): 19th

The Athletic (Sam Vecenie): 19th

The Stepien (Composite Rank): 19th

The Step Back (Brandon Kleen): 17th

Quotes:

Prefacing his analysis of the former Duck by going over his inconsistent season, Sam Vecenie of The Athletic details why Brown has a solid baseline of skills that could vault him into starter status, provided he resolves questions surrounding his jumper:

"“An elite-level high school prospect who has been scouted to death over the last three years, Brown had an up-and-down freshman season in Eugene. On the plus side, he has a terrific frame at 6-foot-7 with a 6-foot-11 wingspan. He showcased his ability to handle the ball and create both for himself and others under Dana Altman this year. He’s also a smart, instinctive defender with high basketball IQ and a strong feel for the game. But he’s not an elite leaper or a hyperquick twitch athlete, and his shooting ability really gives teams pause. If he can iron out his jumper, it’s easy to imagine him becoming a high-level rotation player who could even develop into a starter. Age is on his side, as he doesn’t turn 19 until July, and the situation at Oregon wasn’t exactly the best to showcase his gifts. I’d guess he ends up in the first round, and with a strong predraft process could jump into the late lottery mix.”"

Similarly, The Stepien’s Jackson Hoy writes that what Brown offers will make him an appealing option for teams outside of the lottery, but his ceiling will be defined by whether he can improve upon his shaky three-point shot:

"“While his three-point shooting numbers disappointed, Brown largely lived up to expectations throughout the regular season as a playmaking wing who filled a role defensively and did the little things on both ends. His offensive and defensive versatility makes him an appealing plug-and-play option in the mid-to-late first, especially since his high feel and motor on both ends should allow him to earn the trust of a coaching staff early on. In order to turn into a starting-caliber piece, Brown’s percentages from the outside will need to bounce back, but with an NBA frame and well-rounded skill set as one of the youngest players in this class (doesn’t turn 19 until July), Brown is a solid bet to be off the board within the first 25 picks.”"