Breaking down the best prop bets for the Denver Nuggets’ matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday night.
Nikola Jokic missed out on another matchup against Joel Embiid on Saturday after the reigning Most Valuable Player missed the matchup in Denver. Jokic will get another star center on Saturday as the Nuggets host Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Denver (32-15) and Milwaukee (32-14) have each won four of their last five games. Denver is coming off a 111-105 win over the Embiid-less 76ers and Milwaukee dismantled the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday, 141-117.
Here are some props to consider for Monday’s matchup.
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Bucks vs. Nuggets best NBA prop bets
- Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 31.5 points
- Michael Porter Jr. UNDER 2.5 made 3-pointers
- 1st half total UNDER 120.5 points
Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 31.5 points
The Greek Freak has hit this number just once in the last five games – though he scored 31 points twice in that span – but he was met with little resistance at the rim in recent matchups against the Nuggets.
Over a regular-season split last season, Antetokounmpo scored 64 points on 22-of-37 shooting, despite missing nine times from the charity stripe (20-of-29) in those contests.
Denver is just 16th in the NBA in allowing points in the paint (50.2 per game) and just allowed Philadelphia’s Paul Reed and Marcus Morris Sr. to combine for 47 points on 21-of-37 shooting in Denver’s six-point victory over the shorthanded Sixers on Saturday. Take Antetokounmpo to have a big game.
Michael Porter Jr. UNDER 2.5 made 3-pointers
Denver's offense has been in a recent shooting spell and Porter has seen his three-point percentage come crashing down. Porter hit four 3-pointers in Denver's win over Philadelphia, but that came off a season-high 12 attempts. Before Saturday, Porter went under this number in three of the last four games and didn't attempt a 3-pointer in Denver's ugly loss to the Knicks on Jan. 25.
Since sinking 11 triples over a two-game stretch earlier this month, Porter is just 9-of-28 from beyond the arc and will face a Milwaukee defense that is No. 1 in the NBA in defending the perimeter, holding opponents to just 36.3% from deep.
1st half total UNDER 120.5 points
In a matchup between two of the top favorites to win the NBA Championship this season (Denver is +350, Milwaukee is +450), both defenses should be at their best.
Milwaukee is due for some negative regression after shooting an absurd 56% from the field in its blowout win over New Orleans. The Bucks made 20 three-pointers in that win and Denver is No. 1 in the Western Conference in triples allowed per game (11.2).
On the other side, Denver has been a defensive-minded team over its 4-1 stretch since getting torched by Embiid in Philadelphia. In those five games, Denver's offense is averaging just 102.8 points per game and the average first-half total has been 115 points, going under this number four times.
Game odds update periodically and are subject to change.