The Milwaukee Bucks and San Antonio Spurs face off in what should be a lopsided game on Thursday night, but the prop market is full of opportunities for bettors.
I have a trio of props that I’m looking at for Thursday’s action, including picks for Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard.
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Let’s dive into the best bets for this matchup:
Bucks vs. Spurs best NBA prop bets
- Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER 54.5 points, rebounds and assists
- Victor Wembanyama UNDER 8.5 rebounds
- Damian Lillard UNDER 7.5 assists
Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER 54.5 points, rebounds and assists
Giannis Antetokounmpo has cleared 54.5 points, rebounds and assists just seven times all season, and I took the UNDER on this prop back in December when these teams faced off for the first time.
Giannis had a triple-double in that game, but he still finished with just 41 PRA.
In the games that Giannis has gone OVER this number, he’s scored 40 or more points in four of them. He did clear this twice in his last three games, but I think Milwaukee could win big in this game and potentially sit him down the stretch – especially on the second night of a back-to-back.
Considering Giannis is averaging 30.8 points, 11.3 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game (47.9 PRA), I think we’re getting pretty good value on Thursday night.
Victor Wembanyama UNDER 8.5 rebounds
Victor Wembanyama had been on a tear rebounding the ball, but then he rolled his ankle in pregame warmups on Dec. 23 and has seen his minutes drop since.
The No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NBA Draft has not cleared 8.5 rebounds in any of his last five games, averaging just 6.4 boards per game over that stretch.
While he’s putting up 10.2 rebounds per game on the season, I can’t trust Wemby if his minutes stay around 23-26 per game.
Damian Lillard UNDER 7.5 assists
I have some similar thinking in the Lillard prop to the Wembanyama prop, as the Bucks guard simply hasn’t been putting up big assist numbers as of late.
Dame is averaging 6.7 assists per game, but we’d need him to get eight or more to hit the OVER on Thursday.
I don’t see that happening given the fact that Lillard has just five games since Dec. 1 with eight or more assists. He’s averaging 6.6 dimes per game over that 15-game stretch.
Plus, if this is a blowout – and the spread suggests it will be – Dame and Giannis could be sitting down the stretch.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.