Best NBA prop bets today for Pacers vs. Bucks (Bet Giannis to score plenty of points)

Breaking down the best prop bets for the Milwaukee Bucks-Indiana Pacers matchup in the NBA on New Year's Day.

Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) drives.
Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) drives. / Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
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The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers will face off for the third time this season in a game that almost certainly will be a track meet – a paradise for player prop bettors. 

These teams have combined for 250, 247, and 266 points in their first three meetings this season, and they rank No. 1 and No. 2 in offensive rating and No. 2 and No. 4 in pace. 

With a sky-high total of 260.5 points, there are several OVERs that I’m eyeing in the prop market. 

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Let’s break down the best props – including one for Giannis Antetokounmpo – on Monday night: 

Pacers vs. Bucks best NBA prop bets

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 35.5 points
  • Myles Turner OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
  • Damian Lillard OVER 25.5 points

Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 35.5 points

Giannis Antetokounmpo has dominated Indiana this season, putting up 54, 37, and 64 points in his three meetings with the team.

His points prop is extremely high, but the Pacers have had no answer for him this season – or in the past. 

Antetokounmpo has seven games in his last 10 against Indiana with 36 or more points, including multiple 40 and 50-point games. 

The Pacers simply don’t match up well against him, and if they’re going to push the pace, the Bucks star is going to get his. 

Myles Turner OVER 1.5 3-pointers made

Myles Turner is shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc this season, but he’s been more than happy to launch 3-point shots against the Bucks. 

The Pacers center hit 4-of-9 attempts from deep in the first meeting between these teams before knocking down 2-of-8 and 2-of-2 shots from 3 in his last two meetings against the Bucks. 

I expect Turner to look for his shot outside to bring Brook Lopez and Antetokounmpo away from the basket on defense. 

Damian Lillard OVER 25.5 points

Damian Lillard sat out the first meeting against the Pacers, and he’s yet to clear this total in a game against them this season. 

I think that changes tonight. 

Antetokounmpo likely won’t have 64 points again – which cut into Dame’s workload in a major way the last time these teams played. Lillard took just 14 shots in the Dec. 13 meeting between the teams. 

Plus, in the game he scored 24 points, Lillard struggled – shooting just 7-for-20 from the field. 

I expect a bounce-back game, especially since he’s scored 26 or more points in five of his last eight contests.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.