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Giannis Antetokounmpo’s preferred trade is a double-edged sword for the Bucks

It's good, but also bad.
Milwaukee Bucks, Giannis Antetokounmpo
Milwaukee Bucks, Giannis Antetokounmpo | Benny Sieu-Imagn Images

In the latest for The Stein Line, Marc Stein and Jake Fischer reiterated that Giannis Antetokounmpo wants to stay in the East (subscription required), which is a good and bad thing for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Chatter persists that Antetokounmpo, in any case, is determined to stay in the Eastern Conference after 13 seasons as a Buck.

It's a positive because the Heat, the team that is thought to be his preferred destination (and that matters, too!), can put together the kind of package the Bucks want, including the No. 13 pick in this month's draft.

On the other hand, though, you know it wouldn't be ideal for Milwaukee if Antetokounmpo helped lead another team in the East to a title. It'd be bittersweet regardless, but especially watching it happen within the same conference.

There is more to it than that. Giannis has a say in where he will end up because of his $62.8 million player option he could decline in 2027-28 to become a free agent. Portland (which controls Milwaukee's picks from 2028-2030) has shown interest in the superstar, but given Antetokounmpo's desire to stay in the East, he probably wouldn't be willing to stay in Portland long term. That doesn't mean they still couldn't try to loop them in a deal, at least.

Eliminating teams from the West hurts the Bucks' chances of getting the increased competition they'd prefer as they try to get the best possible offer for Antetokounmpo.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is 'determined' to stay in the East

The reason why Antetokounmpo would leave Milwaukee in the first place is that he wants to compete for a championship. The Bucks aren't in a position to do that. They tried to make that happen, from trading for Damian Lillard to getting desperate enough to waive and stretch his contract to land Myles Turner.

Giannis knows that his best shot to win another title will most likely happen in the East. To make it out of the West, he'd have to go through some combination of the Spurs, Thunder, Timberwolves, Lakers, and Nuggets. You have to even throw Kevin Durant and the Rockets in there.

The East is less daunting, but even then, if Antetokounmpo ends up with the Heat, it will still be a challenge to make it past the Knicks, Celtics, or even the Pacers with Tyrese Haliburton returning. You can't forget about the Pistons, either.

Milwaukee wants a trade to happen before the draft, and knowing that Miami and Antetokounmpo have mutual interest can make that become a reality. That helps the Bucks out. A trade (if one happens) was never going to be easy because of all that Giannis means to the organization, but it would be a little easier to accept if he were getting out of the East entirely. It doesn't seem like that is how it will go down.

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